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Oil slips as recession fears balance tight supply

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Oil edged decrease on July 4 as fears of a worldwide recession that may hit demand overshadowed considerations of tight supply amid decrease OPEC output, unrest in Libya and sanctions on Russia.

Figures on July 1 confirmed Euro zone inflation hit yet one more document excessive in June, firming the case for speedy European Central Bank charge hikes beginning this month. U.S. shopper sentiment hit a document low in June.

Brent crude fell 25 cents, or 0.2%, to $111.38 a barrel at 1015 GMT, after falling over $1 in early commerce. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude slipped 49 cents, or 0.5%, to $107.94.

“The risk is tilted to the downside as traders are concerned about slowing oil demand due to a strong possibility of an economic recession taking place in the U.S. and in other parts of the world,” stated Naeem Aslam of Avatrade.

Brent got here shut this yr to an all-time excessive of $147 a barrel reached in 2008 as Russia’s invasion of Ukraine added to supply considerations. Despite concern of a recession, tight supply is limiting losses.

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) missed a goal to spice up output in June, a Reuters survey discovered. Ecuador’s manufacturing has been hit by unrest just lately, and a strike in Norway might reduce supply this week.

“This backdrop of mounting supply outages is colliding with a possible spare production capacity shortage among Middle Eastern oil producers,” stated Stephen Brennock of oil dealer PVM.

“And without new oil production hitting markets soon, prices will be forced higher.”


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